Post-hurricane Analysis of Citrus Canker II: Predictive Model Estimation of Disease Spread and Area Potentially Impacted by Various Eradication Protocols Following Catastrophic Weather Events

Fig. 17. Treasure Coast area simulation using a single point source of infection and assuming IPL distribution function of inoculum followed by infection. (A) inoculum dispersal by 1-km distance bands. The predicted population of infection sites were distributed stochastically within each band. (B) GIS analysis of distributed inoculum. Red dots indicate inoculum coinciding with commercial citrus, whereas blue dots indicate inoculum distribution into areas void of citrus. (C) IPL distribution of inoculum via IPL model into commercial citrus only.



Image from Plant Health Progress article:
Post-hurricane Analysis of Citrus Canker II: Predictive Model Estimation of Disease Spread and Area Potentially Impacted by Various Eradication Protocols Following Catastrophic Weather Events