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Analyzing Positive Finds with Explicit Uncertainty

L. G. Brown

November 2003


Regulatory realities, culture, and politics impinge on scientifically based policy recommendations. An appreciation of the regulatory framework that creates policy recommendations helps in understanding why it is important to state the confidence intervals, i.e., to state explicitly the uncertainty of each recommendation. Part of the proceedings of "Managing Risk to Minimize Crop Loss," a symposium organized by the Plant Disease Losses and Regulatory Committees of APS.


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